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ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 came in ahead of Street: revenue $359.4M vs $344.3M consensus (+4.4%), EPS $0.09 vs $0.06 consensus, and EBITDA ~$69.3M vs $62.9M consensus; management also delivered $22.0M of free cash flow and lowered 2025 capex guidance midpoint by ~9% *.
- Mix and execution drove the beat: utilization was strong, pricing held “steady” in contracted next-gen fleets, and cost discipline lifted Adjusted EBITDA to $73.0M (20% margin) despite macro volatility; lease expense for e-fleets was $15M .
- Outlook tempered near term: Q2 active fleets guided down to 13–14 (from 14–15 in Q1) on commodity softness (tariffs/OPEC+) and price discipline in spot diesel; ~50% of horsepower now under long‑term contracts helps buffer volatility .
- Strategic pivot gaining traction: PROPWR ordered capacity raised to ~220 MW with LOIs for ~75 MW; management prioritizes capital to power/e-fleets with take‑or‑pay returns (~4‑yr payback, ~$300k EBITDA/MW/yr) .
- Governance/leadership: CFO departed March 4; Chief Accounting Officer Celina Davila is interim PFO, and led the quarter’s detailed financial update, with intent to extend the $200M buyback program, subject to Board approval .
Note: Consensus values marked with * are from S&P Global; values retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Strong execution and resilience despite macro: “another great quarter… our strategy is working… despite macroeconomic volatility,” with revenue up 12% QoQ to $359M and Adjusted EBITDA up 38% to $73M (20% margin) .
- Mix/contracting improved durability: 75% of frac capacity is next‑gen (Tier IV DGB + FORCE e‑fleets); ~50% of active HHP under long‑term contracts; pricing “very steady” in contracted next‑gen .
- Capital discipline/FCF: Q1 free cash flow $21.9–$22.0M with capex $39M; liquidity $197M; 2025 capex guidance cut to $295–$345M, driven largely by optimization in completions; intent to extend buyback .
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What Went Wrong
- Macro-driven near-term softness: Management guiding Q2 active fleets to 13–14 vs 14–15 in Q1 due to lower oil prices linked to tariffs and OPEC+ supply; will not run sub‑economic work .
- Spot diesel pressure: Some low-price pockets in diesel/spot; management is willing to walk away; confirms consolidation via attrition as uneconomic competitors price at negative FCF .
- Non-GAAP/one-time noise: Q1 included a $10M loss on asset disposal (Tier II diesel sales), and e‑fleet operating lease expense of $15M; Q4 2024 had a $24M goodwill impairment in wireline, highlighting ongoing portfolio shaping .
Financial Results
Segment performance – Q1 2025:
- Segment revenue and profitability
Key KPIs – Q1 2025:
- Fleet/contracting/power and cash metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic positioning: “Our performance underscores… strong execution… despite macroeconomic volatility… our new PROPWR offering and FORCE electric fleet transition ensure [we] deliver durable returns over time.” – Sam Sledge, CEO .
- Contracting/portfolio: “We currently operate seven Tier IV DGB dual‑fuel fleets… four FORCE fleets in the field under long‑term contracts… six fleets under contract (~50% of active HHP).” .
- Capital allocation: “We believe in a dynamic capital allocation strategy… pursue growth through M&A, PROPWR, and FORCE… generated strong free cash flow, solid adjusted EBITDA and lower‑than‑expected capex relative to guidance.” .
- On optimization: “Lower capex is a strong tailwind for free cash flow… 2025 capex to be $295–$345M… completions $125–$175M; PROPWR $170M in 2025 and $60M in 2026; $104M financed.” – Celina Davila, Interim PFO .
- Near-term activity: “We anticipate operating approximately between 13 and 14 fleets in the second quarter… we will not compromise [fleet health] by operating… sub‑economic.” – CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- PROPWR scope beyond Permian: While initial contracts are Permian oil & gas, management is seeing opportunities across other geographies/industries; building a platform with flexibility and modularity .
- Pricing color: Contracted next‑gen pricing is steady given long‑term customer orientation; diesel/spot shows isolated underpricing—PUMP is willing to walk away to preserve returns .
- Capital allocation stack: Prioritizing power and e‑fleets given known, contract‑backed returns (take‑or‑pay), alongside M&A, wireline/cementing, and buybacks while protecting the balance sheet .
- Industry activity cadence: Permian fleets could drift from ~85–90 toward 75–85 into summer; PUMP expects to pull at least one fleet in June absent macro change; running four simul‑frac fleets heading into May .
- PROPWR returns: Targeting ~4‑year paybacks and ~$300k EBITDA per MW per year on contracts; customer interest is strong .
Estimates Context
- Beat vs S&P Global consensus: Q1 revenue $359.4M vs $344.3M*; EPS $0.09 vs $0.06*; EBITDA ~$69.3M* actual vs $62.9M* consensus, with four EPS estimates and five revenue estimates contributing *.
- Implications: Model updates likely include higher near‑term EBITDA/FCF on utilization/cost control and lower FY25 capex; however, Q2 activity moderation and spot market pricing caution may temper outer‑quarter revenue assumptions .
Note: Consensus values marked with * are from S&P Global; values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution-led beat with improved cash conversion: solid utilization/pricing and cost control drove EBITDA and FCF upside; e‑fleet leases embedded in COGS are manageable within margin structure .
- Defensive posture into softer Q2: fleet guidance trimmed to 13–14 and firm price discipline in spot diesel support cycle‑through returns; ~50% contracted HHP and 75% next‑gen mix reduce volatility .
- PROPWR is a growing growth vector: ordered capacity to ~220 MW with early LOIs (75 MW) and contract‑like returns (take‑or‑pay) can add durable, less cyclical earnings over time .
- 2025 capex haircut boosts FCF durability: completions capex cut via optimization; explicit PROPWR spend/financing improves visibility; expect share repurchase extension pending Board approval .
- Watch catalysts: formalization of PROPWR contracts (LOIs → executed agreements), e‑fleet #5 deployment, Q2 utilization trajectory vs guide, pricing discipline in diesel/spot, and CFO successor appointment .
Appendix: Additional detail from primary sources
- GAAP financials (Q1 2025): Revenue $359.416M; Net income $9.602M; Diluted EPS $0.09; CFFO $54.689M; FCF $21.853M; Cash $63.392M; Liquidity $197M .
- Non-GAAP: Adjusted EBITDA $72.686M; Lease expense on e‑fleets $15.339M; Segment Adjusted EBITDA totals reconciled in exhibits .
Footnotes: Consensus values marked with * are from S&P Global; values retrieved from S&P Global.